As we move inexorably towards 31 October 2019 when Britain severs its links with the European Union, Robin Chater, in a speech to the Federation of International Employers (FedEE) retraced the steps of a disturbingly parallel move exactly 502 years ago.
October 31st is celebrated by some as Reformation Day and, in its time, it was as politically important to the future of Europe as Brexit Day. For out of it came the decision by Henry VIII in England to also dispose of the connection with Rome. A Rome that was also significant as the place where the European Union was born on January 1st 1958. In both cases, therefore, it involves a rejection of Rome and also the influence of 'foreign interests'. But can the sixteenth century tell us anything about our current situation?
The reformation was an event that emancipated the English population. But was it not also something else? It certainly led to the isolation of Britain from its strategically important European neighbours. Most importantly, it created a schism across Europe that lasted for centuries.
What next?
So what about Brexit? What is so similar about this incoming reformation?
- As in the sixteenth century reformation, religious strife will also arise with a vengeance. The fragile peace, so hard won through the Good Friday Agreement, will be broken.
- There may be a more widespread form of social disorder. After a post-Brexit lull, the economic consequences of Brexit will sink in as jobs are lost.
- A newly isolated Britain will try to secure trade deals with other nations, and the most likely one is the USA. Early attempts to do so have been described by American officials as "desperate".
- National institutions such as the NHS are already under strain, and these will suffer further financial pressures.
- Finally, if all else fails, then national unity can be engendered by war. A war of some sort will need to be found that is big enough to engage the population.
Paul Arkwright
Publisher
